|
Portfolio
Strategies
Portfolio
monitoring:
We created this portfolio in the previous section.
Now we need to monitor it. After we purchase shares for the four funds
mentioned we can enter the number of shares purchased into a mutual fund
portfolio created at Morningstar. Morningstar will then automatically update
this portfolio every trading day.
We can then X-Ray the portfolio for fund overlap
at Morningstar
FinPortfolio and Risk Grades have several tools for portfolios including
portfolio optimization.
Buy and Hold/Market Timing:
Some investors buy into a mutual fund and hold it until the money is
needed. This defers capital gains (not distributions). A market timer on
the other hand, attempts to buy low and sell high, a difficult task that
involves not missing the best month and avoiding the worst month. Market
timing also generates capital gains that have tax consequences. One such
strategy is outlined in fundadvice.com. See how rebalancing may be a better form of
market timing in the next section.
Portfolio Rebalancing:
This is done once or twice a year to maintain the
asset allocation.
One example could be an investor who desires 60% in
stock funds and 40% in bonds. But stocks have done well changing the stock
allocation to 70%. The investor then sells the stock fund and buys the
bond fund so that the 6/40 allocation is maintained.
Besides instances when one asset class swells or
shrinks, rebalancing can be useful when the investor would like to change
the asset allocation, for example,
Lower stock allocation due to a major life
event such as retirement
Move allocation gradually from aggressive to moderate as you age.
Rebalancing may also be done
when a new
asset class is added.
 
Since
Rebalancing involves selling the asset class that has outperformed and
buying the asset class that has under-performed, it is viewed by many as a
prudent and disciplined form of market timing. See article on Trigger-point
rebalancing.
Dollar Cost Averaging or "Automatic investing":
A fixed amount is invested at regular intervals (e.g. $100 every month)
irrespective of market conditions. More shares are purchased when the
market is low; fewer shares are purchased when the market is high. Dollar
cost averaging avoids timing the market and also saves you from riding the
emotional roller coaster of daily stock market performance. Here is how it
works:
|
MONTH
|
MONTHLY
INVESTMENT
|
SHARE
PRICE
|
SHARES
PURCHASED *
|
|
January
|
$100
|
$5.00
|
20
|
|
February
|
$100
|
$4.00
|
25
|
|
March
|
$100
|
$3.50
|
28.57
|
|
April
|
$100
|
$3.00
|
33.33
|
|
May
|
$100
|
$3.75
|
26.67
|
|
June
|
$100
|
$5.00
|
20
|
|
TOTAL
|
$600
|
|
153.57
|
* shares purchased = monthly investment
divided by share price
Average cost per share = $600/153.57 = $3.91
Total amount invested = $600
Total account value @ June = 153.57 * 5.00 = $767.85
Gain=$767.85-$600=$167.85
In this example, our investment has a gain,
however, this is not assured by dollar cost averaging especially in
declining markets and can be worse than lump sum investing in rising
markets.
But the best feature of Dollar cost averaging is it enforces discipline to
investing and is very simple to implement since most mutual funds have an
automatic investment plan where they will deduct an amount you are
comfortable with periodically.
Sell a fund:
1. Rapid Growth in assets
2. Increase in Expense ratio
3. Performance lags index/peers
4. Veteran manager leaves the fund
5. Change in fund's investment strategy (style drift)
6. Create a loss (described in "Tax Loss")
7. Need the money
See list of 3-alarm funds (funds to sell) at fundalarm
Compounding:
Money grows in time by the magic of compounding.
See how $1000 grows in 5, 10 and 15 years at
annualized returns (APR) of 5%, 9% and 20%:
|
#
of years
|
5%
APR
|
9%
APR
|
20%
APR
|
|
5
|
$1,276
|
$1,539.00
|
2488
|
|
10
|
$1,629
|
$2,367.00
|
6192
|
|
15
|
$2,079
|
$3,642.00
|
38000
|
Compounding has a more pronounced effect with 1)
higher returns or 2) longer time periods. The highest growth 9sahded in
green) is achieved by both a higher return and a longer time
period. Start investing early, reinvest
distributions and choose investments wisely to take advantage of
compounding.
Some interesting facts about compounding:
Let us say a fund delivers returns of 20% in the first year, second and
third years but a negative 20% return in the fourth year. The annualized
return for this fund over a 4-year period is only 8.43%!
Also the rule of 72: Number of years to double your investment is 72
divided by your rate of return on your investment. e.g. at 12% rate of
return, money doubles in 72/12 or
6 years.
Buy funds before they close
Some good performing funds (especially small-cap
funds) close to new investors when they reach a certain asset level (soft close: fund accepts new money from only
existing investors but not new investors, hard close: fund does not accept
any new money). Sometimes closed funds reopen.
Remember, closed and closed-end funds are not the same.
Buy new funds
Newly launched funds especially from large fund
companies tend to usually do well since they can use IPO's, smaller stocks
and hot ideas more effectively.
Tax strategies:
Please consult your tax advisor for details on Tax
issues.
a.
Tax Exemption:
Municipal bond funds are tax-exempt at the federal level and are
beneficial for incomes in the higher federal tax bracket.
b. Tax Deferral:
IRA's, 401(k)’s and 403(b)’s are examples of tax-deferred accounts,
where the investment is shielded from taxes until you cash out. The
effective rate of return is higher and results in a remarkable difference
in the account value after a few years because of the effects of
compounding.
c.
Tax Deduction:
Under certain conditions, annual IRA contributions may be partially or
fully deductible. Annual 401(k) distributions are generally fully
deductible subject to a maximum limit - this is called the Pretax 401k . There
is also the deductible Catch-up 401(k) for older workers. In addition you
may be able to contribute to the 401K) on an Aftertax basis.
d. Calculate your tax bracket:
Calculate your tax bracket based on your projected
income. If you are in a lower tax bracket than you originally thought, you
may have to rethink how much to contribute to a 401(k).
e. Harvest Tax Losses:
Sell a fund/ETF that lost you money, take the loss on your return and
buy a similar fund/ETF.
This way
you maintain your objectives and also benefit from lowering your taxes.
Pay attention to Long-Term and Short-Term losses.
(See www.irs.gov for details on the Wash
rule. Make sure that reinvested dividends do not void the tax selling
loss.)
f.
Negative Potential Capital Gains Exposure:
Also
some funds have accumulated large capital losses that can offset future
gains and can be a potential tax shelter. For instance, a fund with a -50%
Potential Capital Gains Exposure can go up by 50% before it pays out any
capital gains distributions. Look at Morningstar's Fund Tax analysis
for this information. e.g. Tax Analysis of Fidelity
Contrafund.
g. ROTH conversion:
Convert
a fund in your traditional IRA that lost you money to a Roth IRA. Pay
lower taxes now, withdrawals are tax–free. There are income limitations
in order to qualify.
Fund Tax
Basis:
There are several ways to calculate the tax basis of a fund,
the most popular method is the Average Basis. Tax Basis is
information that is needed to figure out loss/gain when you sell your
fund. Check the Vanguard
site for more details. Remember, reinvested dividends/capital gains
distributions are a part of cost basis.
h. 401(k) match:
If your employer matches your contribution in the 401(k) plan, take full
advantage of it.
i. Choosing funds for IRA/401(k) based on
distribution:
Select funds that have large distributions in the retirement
accounts and funds that have small distributions in your regular accounts
(except when investing for income).
j. Buying after the distribution:
Many funds distribute capital gains around the end of the year. If you are
buying such a fund, the best time to buy it is after the distribution
date.
k.
College Savings:
Tax advantages play an important role in choice between a) 529 College
Savings Plan
b) Coverdell Education Savings Account and c) UGMA/UMTA accounts
d) IRA accounts
Check out the details here.

|